Sunday, January 1, 2017

later check

hi,I am posting one afl for drawing different time frames in one chart in different panes, simply drag and drop the afl into different panes and right click and select Parameters and then the time frame say Monthly,weekly or daily on daily data.

/*This will Plot monthly, weekly, AND daly charts in one chart but different panes. */
//================================================== ============================================
SetChartBkGradientFill(colorWhite,colorLightGrey,c olorWhite);
Period= ParamList("Base","Daily|Weekly|Monthly",0);

if(Period=="Monthly"){
TimeFrameSet(inMonthly);
PlotOHLC(Open, High, Low, Close, "Monthly Price Chart", colorBlack, style = styleCandle | styleOwnScale);
Plot(V,"Volume",colorWhite, styleHistogram);
}
if(Period=="Weekly"){
TimeFrameSet(inWeekly);
PlotOHLC(Open, High, Low, Close, "weekly Price Chart", colorBlack, style = styleCandle | styleOwnScale);
Plot(V,"Volume",colorWhite, styleHistogram);
}
if(Period=="Daily"){
TimeFrameSet(inDaily);
PlotOHLC(Open, High, Low, Close, "Daily Price Chart", colorBlack, style = styleCandle | styleOwnScale);
Plot(V,"Volume",colorWhite, styleHistogram);
}

Saturday, December 31, 2016

decision making - Process v/s outcome oriented..

http://www.traderji.com/trading-psychology/103753-decision-making-while-trading-theory.html


ಅಪೇಕ್ಷಣೀಯ (desirable ), ಕಾರ್ಯಸಾಧ್ಯವಾದ (viable), ಅನುಕೂಲವಾದ ( feasible) - All 3 must cross..

desirability-feasibility-viability-diagram

http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/petia.petrova/working_papers/The%20Effects%20of%20Outcome%20.pdf

http://www18.georgetown.edu/data/people/dvt/publication-42822.pdf

losses:
http://www.traderji.com/trading-psychology/103748-losses-depth-guide.html#post1195610

http://www.traderji.com/risk-money-management/103437-easiest-1-step-guide-calculate-how-much-you-can-risk-trade.html#post1187399


Desirability vs feasibility

outcome-oriented thinking triggers elaboration primarily on the benefits
associated with attaining one’s goals, the desirability of the goals is expected to be more
salient than the feasibility of the goals when individuals are evaluating alternatives...



In
contrast, process-oriented thinking should activate action-outcome linkages, making both
feasibility and desirability considerations salient to process-oriented individuals. Thus,
for decisions that require tradeoffs between desirability and feasibility, the decision
should be more difficult for those who engage in process-oriented thinking than for those
who engage in outcome-oriented thinking. In turn, this increased difficulty may affect
subsequent judgments such as satisfaction with the decision process, willingness to
postpone choice, and likelihood to switch to a compromise option. 

3 legs of stock market..

All 3 legs are needed to make money in stock market..

                                  NO CHANGE
1. EMOTION :Understand the opposition mind set.. ( We need to kill less intelligent trader ( emotionally out there and who has little funds )..
so stick to shorting, exit at 0.5% profit/loss or within 10 minutes whichever comes first otherwise we get stuck up there ( attachment comes ) u will be like other fellow who is emotionally trapped..
Steps to screen the stock:



Intraday:
1. Load SP and BP
2. Stocks with increase in volume and increase in OI..
3. Hourly Gainers/Losers which have formed the saucer formation.
4.Stocks breaking R1,S1 and other technical indicators like weeklyR1, weeklyS1 and otherstuff of Youtrader..
5. Stocks making new highs (near new highs/lows at 1.30 -preferably highs ) and new lows or highs at 2.30 - preferaly lows )
6. Preopen candidates.(top gainers and top volume candidates)
7. Stocks breaking YESTERDAY'S LOW at 10.30am and Stocks breaking YESTERDAY'S HIGH at 1.30am good movment candiates..(program in amibroker to screen the same )
8. Watch out stocks on news in CORPORATE ANNOUNCMENTS ..and enter based on LogicalTrader method..
9. Stocks with highest% of VWAP ( intraday) bases are good candidates for screening.. (Same way for step 7 we can use yesterday's VWAP instead of Low and High )
10. Screen in amibroker ( 5sma,10sma and 20sma ) calculate the average in the sequency, price-20-15-5 ( percentage change being smallest ) so that we catch the move at the closest junction of joining..
                                

NO CHANGE


            Increase/decrese - with profit/loss/withdrawal/deposit
2. Money Management FIXED : Risk : 2% rule per trade and 6% rule for overall account per day.. irrespective of capital size..
             Increase/decrese - with profit/loss/withdrawal/deposit

         
3. Method.. : FIXED
        Vbar = TimeNum() >= 123000 AND TimeNum() < 123003;
Plot(Vbar,"",colorDarkGrey,styleHistogram|styleDots|styleOwnScale);

Vbar = TimeNum() >= 103000 AND TimeNum() < 103003;
Plot(Vbar,"",colorDarkGrey,styleHistogram|styleDots|styleOwnScale);

Vbar = TimeNum() >= 133000 AND TimeNum() < 133003;
Plot(Vbar,"",colorDarkGrey,styleHistogram|styleDots|styleOwnScale);

Vbar = TimeNum() >= 143000 AND TimeNum() < 143003;
Plot(Vbar,"",colorDarkGrey,styleHistogram|styleDots|styleOwnScale);


Also
_SECTION_BEGIN("camarilla levels");
//---- pivot points
DayH = TimeFrameGetPrice("H", 3600, -1); // yesterdays high
DayL = TimeFrameGetPrice("L", 3600, -1); // low
DayC = TimeFrameGetPrice("C", 3600, -1); // close
DayO = TimeFrameGetPrice("O", 3600); // current day open

// camarilla pivots
if ( True )
{
R = DayH - DayL;  // range
RA =abs(((DayH+DayL)/2) -( (DayH + DayL + DayC ) / 3)) ;
//PP1 = O+R-Piv;
//PP2 = O-R+Piv;
R4 = (R * 1.1/2)+DayO;
R3 = (R * 1.1/4)+DayO;
S3 = DayO-(R * 1.1/4);
S4 = DayO- (R * 1.1/2);
P1 = DayO+RA;
P2= DayO-RA;
}

//Plot(R4, "",colorGreen,styleDots+styleNoLine);
//Plot(S4, "",colorDarkBlue,styleDots+styleNoLine);
Plot(P1, "",colorGreen,styleLine);
Plot(P2, "",colorDarkBlue,styleLine);


Method is being LOGICAL TRADER METHODOLOGY, applied every hour.. Let the stock be bullish or bearish, doesn't matter.. Method is fixed as per logical trader and trading is based on hourly.. Even in hourly, the Open range will decide stop loss and entry ( The SL being small, is a +VE EDGE )...

Plot 3 moving averages at the bottom, watchout for the crossover ( of 5,10 and 20 each being on 1 min chart ) all simple moving average.

Commentry:
Avoid EOD analysis.. keep these strategies in mind, will be useful in future or positional analysis..  or theory.. but why we want all these when we have GOT WHAT WE WANT..
How about developing triple moving average crossover ( 5,10,20 and screening the same )..
EOD:
1. Based on VWAP of both Stocks and futures, find out buying candidates and selling candidates. Avoid the candidates which are buying in one and selling in other.. Also, avoid the candidates which have huge OI change and also the ones which are adla badli candiates..; they are reversal counters good for positional option buying but not makes sense of intraday..
and use INTRADAY strategies preferably on these stocks and if buy/sell comes to buy/sell of EOD, probability and movement is better.

Why Sridhar is quitting market..

Sridhar after reading many books, has said that all books tell the same, stick to a method and follow it.. but we are not following it..that's the reason for failure..

Remember the concept of My well My way..

Tuesday, December 27, 2016

screening stocks..

Dont sell any stock trading above S1 :
simple rule.. it's easy to kill the dead fellow, why fight with big fellows..

1st Step :..
Expiry date onwards,  open-high candidates..(Program in Amibroker)// Monthly open-High
2nd Step :
Open-High Weekly candiates ( Screen in Youtrader )
3rd step :
Daily open-HIgh candidates.. ( Screen in Youtrader )
4th step:
Always enter on the reentry instead of plain breakout...
5th step:
Open < Pivot ; high > r1 ; LTP < pivot - good candidates for short..
We can screen the same intraday, but the best is to check the same on weekly candle and weekly levels.. Also monthly is also best..

Can be checked for pivot and s1 also; once it should have gone from s1 to pivot and trading below s1 now..

6th step: All Preopen- bullish candidates, sell from top on 2nd break.. Watchout for %change (Highest +ve ) and also watchout stock with high value but again +ve ..

7th step: Watchout result counter stocks... Sell from top on 2nd break..

8th step: watchout corporate news, sell stocks which are in news from top on 2nd break.. If news comes in between sell below last few minutes candle low..

9th step:. Best short sales are the biggest winners in the prior day stocks, enter on breaking 50ema on 1minute basis..

10th step: "If You Can't Read It, Short It." In it she explains something called iceberg phenomena: "If you find five or six serious questions in financial statements, you can be sure that there are many more you cannot see." - Look for candidates breaking more indicators.. short at that point..

11th Step : Continuous rising stocks, but trading below r1 today.. How to screen them??

12th step: Elder ideas:1. The trader must have a trading plan, even discretionary traders.
2. The trader must keep good records to understand his mistakes and successes.
3. A trader should not trade so big that it causes excessive stress and bad judgment.
4. A good rule is to cut every loss to a maximum of 2% or less to limit the risk of ruin.
5. Trading with discipline will put you ahead of the majority of traders.
6. Your trading must fit your own personality and risk tolerance.
7. If you use fundamental ideas for a trade cross check it with the technicals of the chart.
8. Stock option buyers are net losers in the market.
9. Traders can not give up on a stock because they are stopped out, successful traders keep trading the stock until they catch the winning trades.
10. False breakouts and rallies off support are two of the best trading opportunities.

13th step: only 2 things makes money in stock market; One is Risk and other is INNOVATION. The best way to make money is to take breaks and study without position..

14th; Always scalp on shorting candidates, only if nifty is below s1, go for positional short..

Why sell short

Long story about selling short... ; But if u understand market, it's run by greed and fear.. and fear rules..; If u truly understand and want answers ( money ) and trying to solve the problem.. then concentrate on shorting..  ; it protects ur capital on any given day..

So don't complicate things.. BELIEVE IN SHORTING

Best explanation: ruchi sikkide..